Far-Plan
0xcb48f490d8579832e56954cb31dfee630d59be6d
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$331.70
Total PnL
$-58.63
Realised
$0.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
214 shares @ 57.9¢·now 60.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$128.65
$4.46
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?
60 shares @ 74.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$54.60
$10.20
- YES
Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1440?
40 shares @ 76.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.60
$-0.80
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?
248 shares @ 11.0¢·now 10.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$26.71
$-0.62
- YES
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
100 shares @ 15.0¢·now 18.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$18.85
$3.85
- ANTHROPIC
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
23 shares @ 66.7¢·now 67.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$15.24
$0.19
- YES
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
94 shares @ 37.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.49
$-20.10
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
102 shares @ 16.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$13.20
$-3.05
- NO
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?
94 shares @ 57.5¢·now 9.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$8.43
$-45.42
- YES
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
120 shares @ 5.5¢·now 4.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.59
$-1.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?$9.002d ago
- TRADESELLWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$5.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?$1.472d ago
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?$2.092d ago
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?$14.992d ago
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?$1.252d ago
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?$7.502d ago
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?$1.782d ago
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?$7.502d ago
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?$1.682d ago
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?$1.042d ago
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?$1.232d ago
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?$14.992d ago
- TRADESELLWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.852d ago
- TRADESELLWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.532d ago
- REWARD$49.832d ago
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$0.123d ago
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$23.343d ago
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$0.683d ago
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$0.603d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $8.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 7d ago
- Last active
- 2d ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
