Lonely-Awe
0xcb508b8db389dc163eb4c17e9cc9e7e3bffe8cba
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
62
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.8K
Realised
$1.1K
Win rate
41%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
52658 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-98.26
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
30973 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.6K
- KINGS
Kings vs. Warriors
20657 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-137.60
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
20501 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-239.04
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
15000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- HEAT
Heat vs. Timberwolves
14802 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-142.48
- NO
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
13175 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-535.17
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
13000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-39.00
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
7458 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-29.83
- YES
New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?
6690 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$56.80Apr 16, 22:59 UTC
- TRADESELLKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$152.07Apr 5, 02:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate no one before 2027?$0.00Mar 6, 12:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate no one before 2027?$0.00Mar 6, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$997.00Mar 5, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$29.83Mar 1, 03:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate no one before 2027?$29.84Mar 1, 03:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate no one before 2027?$5.09Feb 15, 22:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$20.50Feb 15, 22:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$32.00Feb 15, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate no one before 2027?$835.93Feb 15, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate no one before 2027?$8.00Feb 15, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate no one before 2027?$100.00Feb 15, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate no one before 2027?$100.00Feb 15, 13:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$291.09Feb 15, 13:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$752.84Feb 15, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate no one before 2027?$314.82Feb 10, 10:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$311.50Feb 10, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate no one before 2027?$290.00Feb 9, 23:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$292.72Feb 9, 23:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $150.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 26, 23:57 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 16, 22:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.