Well-Worn-Ideology
0xcb53de07cf1383c0a21749b3392fa3c2c18d0bb8
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$70.41
Total PnL
$16.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Trump win Iowa by 12+ points?
11 shares @ 35.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$11.43
$7.43
- NO
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?
11 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$11.11
$4.11
- YES
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
10 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$10.34
$4.34
- YES
Ethereum above $2,500 on November 8?
8 shares @ 53.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2024$7.51
$3.51
- YES
Will Trump win Mississippi by 20+ points?
5 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$5.00
$2.00
- YES
Will Trump win Florida by 8+ points?
5 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$4.62
$1.62
- YES
Will Harris win Minnesota by 3+ points?
4 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$3.90
$0.90
- NO
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2024?
4 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$3.53
$0.53
- YES
Bitcoin all time high day after election?
3 shares @ 30.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2024$3.33
$2.33
- NO
U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤100k votes?
3 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$3.28
$1.28
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift attend Kamala's Pennsylvania rally?$1.00Nov 2, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high day after election?$1.00Nov 2, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. Presidential election decided by ≤100k votes?$2.00Nov 2, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$6.00Nov 2, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harris win Minnesota by 3+ points?$3.00Nov 2, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $2,500 on November 8?$3.00Nov 2, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bills beat the Dolphins by 6 or more points?$4.00Nov 2, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, D House$1.00Nov 1, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency? $7.00Nov 1, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump blowout victory?$2.00Nov 1, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYElection certified on January 6?$1.00Nov 1, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?$1.00Nov 1, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win Florida by 8+ points?$3.00Nov 1, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Gaza in 2024?$3.00Nov 1, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close over $3,000 at the end of 2024?$1.00Nov 1, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win Mississippi by 20+ points?$3.00Nov 1, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win Iowa by 12+ points?$4.00Nov 1, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran strike on Israel before December?$4.00Nov 1, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,750 in November?$1.00Nov 1, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $2,500 on November 8?$1.00Nov 1, 19:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $2.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 1, 19:16 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 2, 10:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".