Subdued-Mankind
0xcb54cfacf3e96e98efb4145f7af0671e40fed808
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$103.57
Total PnL
$1.27
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
20 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$20.00
$0.10
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
19 shares @ 96.6¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$18.63
$0.39
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?
14 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$14.46
$0.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on April 10?
12 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$12.12
$0.11
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 10?
10 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$10.31
$0.22
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 10?
9 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$9.10
$0.11
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 10?
7 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$7.35
$0.04
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?
7 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$6.60
$0.11
- NO
Will DeepSeek have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
5 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.00
$0.09
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?$14.36Apr 13, 02:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?$13.09Apr 13, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mistral have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$1.36Apr 10, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 10?$7.31Apr 10, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on April 10?$12.02Apr 10, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?$15.00Apr 10, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?$6.50Apr 10, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 10?$9.00Apr 10, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 10?$10.11Apr 10, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mistral have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$4.00Apr 10, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$4.91Apr 10, 08:47 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$0.00Apr 10, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$19.90Apr 10, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$18.24Apr 10, 08:45 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?$0.00Apr 10, 08:44 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$0.00Apr 10, 08:44 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?$0.00Apr 10, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$6.66Apr 10, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 13?$9.99Apr 10, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 13?$10.40Apr 10, 08:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $11.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 6, 07:29 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 13, 02:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".