Verifiable-Inventory
0xcb6bc1167e9114514db2104a91c4bc50962460d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$4.65
Total PnL
$-4.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 6?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$1.71
$0.00
- NO
Will FIFA World Cup 2026 be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 10?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$1.51
$0.00
- NO
Will claude-opus-4-7-thinking be the best AI model on July 11, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$1.42
$0.00
- NO
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?
6 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on November 30?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.05
- UP
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill claude-opus-4-7-thinking be the best AI model on July 11, 2026?$1.42Jul 10, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FIFA World Cup 2026 be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 10?$1.51Jul 10, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 6?$1.71Jul 5, 08:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill CZ post 60-79 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$1.07Jul 5, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMAnother Iranian diplomat expelled by April 30?$1.17Jul 5, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMUS strike on Cuba by March 31?$1.18Jul 5, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$1.18Jul 5, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$1.24Jul 5, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$1.35Jul 5, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMHwang Kyo-ahn in jail by December 31?$1.70Jul 5, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMForeign intervention in Gaza by April 30?$1.72Jul 5, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Krasnopillya by May 31?$2.34Jul 5, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Krasnopillya by May 31?$2.32May 31, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CZ post 60-79 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$1.07May 9, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother Iranian diplomat expelled by April 30?$1.15Apr 30, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYForeign intervention in Gaza by April 30?$1.72Apr 29, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$1.34Apr 29, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$1.17Apr 14, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by March 31?$1.17Mar 29, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$1.23Mar 28, 09:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $8.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 13, 03:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 09:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.