Novel-Harm
0xcb9fec6929f6c7fa0cab9b3627a23efc362bb445
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$2.0K
Total PnL
$-721.76
Realised
$-0.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
560 shares @ 90.5¢·now 83.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$467.72
$-39.12
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
368 shares @ 42.2¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$325.40
$170.17
- YES
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
321 shares @ 82.8¢·now 81.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$259.87
$-5.76
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
816 shares @ 36.8¢·now 28.3¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$230.76
$-69.24
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
120 shares @ 83.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$106.63
$6.63
- NO
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
164 shares @ 66.7¢·now 56.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$92.02
$-17.62
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
167 shares @ 60.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$90.83
$-9.17
- YES
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
81 shares @ 36.9¢·now 77.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$62.72
$32.72
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
152 shares @ 33.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$55.30
$5.30
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
239 shares @ 14.6¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$38.18
$3.18
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLRoland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca$28.54Jun 2, 21:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev$10.22Jun 1, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca$10.19Jun 1, 18:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?$20.35Jun 1, 18:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 31, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 29, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Francisco Cerundolo win the 2026 Men's French Open?$4.12May 28, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?$5.13May 28, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?$5.14May 28, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?$17.42May 28, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?$30.57May 28, 13:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 26, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $37.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 12:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".