Firsthand-Characterization
0xcba261e32d6474b9fc295f08772414e2c9cbc3d8
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$178.13
Total PnL
$-468.64
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in June?
140 shares @ 38.7¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$139.11
$85.11
- YES
Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?
181 shares @ 28.8¢·now 21.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$39.02
$-13.35
- YES
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the February Meeting?
470 shares @ 56.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-267.00
- NO
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 35m?
378 shares @ 24.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-91.80
- YES
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?
218 shares @ 36.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-79.60
- NO
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
168 shares @ 60.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-102.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNext Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?$53.86Jun 13, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in June?$54.00Jun 2, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 35m?$4.00May 20, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 35m?$4.20May 20, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 35m?$4.20May 20, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 35m?$1.89May 20, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 35m?$2.51May 20, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 35m?$77.81May 20, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$102.00Apr 19, 14:49 UTC
- REDEEMDeepSeek V4 released by April 15?$204.97Apr 19, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYDeepSeek V4 released by April 15?$133.23Mar 16, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?$79.60Mar 12, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the February Meeting?$112.00Jan 20, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the February Meeting?$155.00Jan 17, 02:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $60.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 17, 02:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 02:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.