Smoggy-Chard
0xcba561fe3459fc1b0efacd2641ae428c140fe036
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$516.78
Total PnL
$84.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026?
110 shares @ 89.2¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$108.24
$10.14
- YES
Will Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
100 shares @ 84.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$93.49
$9.50
- NO
Will Iain Black win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
74 shares @ 84.5¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 30, 2026$73.17
$10.85
- NO
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?
70 shares @ 54.3¢·now 70.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$48.99
$11.00
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
100 shares @ 38.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$47.50
$9.50
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
100 shares @ 35.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$46.50
$11.50
- YES
Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
150 shares @ 23.3¢·now 28.5¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$42.73
$7.79
- NO
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
76 shares @ 29.5¢·now 41.5¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$31.70
$9.17
- YES
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
100 shares @ 15.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$19.50
$4.50
- YES
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
232 shares @ 2.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$4.96
$0.30
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$94.00May 16, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$15.56May 16, 22:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$10.00May 16, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$60.84May 16, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$61.20May 16, 01:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$22.29May 16, 01:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$17.36May 15, 21:56 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$99.90May 15, 21:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$100.00May 15, 21:52 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$23.25May 11, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iain Black win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$62.32Apr 28, 01:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Beautiful" or "Wonderful" 12+ times during WHCA Dinner events?$20.03Apr 26, 19:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during WHCA Dinner events?$29.83Apr 26, 19:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Soleimani" during WHCA Dinner events?$205.50Apr 26, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Soleimani" during WHCA Dinner events?$86.00Apr 25, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Soleimani" during WHCA Dinner events?$5.67Apr 25, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Soleimani" during WHCA Dinner events?$85.71Apr 25, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during WHCA Dinner events?$9.37Apr 25, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during WHCA Dinner events?$11.31Apr 25, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Beautiful" or "Wonderful" 12+ times during WHCA Dinner events?$13.80Apr 25, 21:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $46.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 00:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 22:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".