Fluid-Judge
0xcbb5e93f95eb8199e65a34e6caab9cffe750ecee
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$90.35
Total PnL
$-499.47
Realised
$-109.35
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
40 shares @ 49.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$27.00
$7.40
- NO
Will Elon Musk announce a presidential run before 2027?
15 shares @ 90.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.32
$0.82
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
15 shares @ 74.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$13.13
$2.02
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
15 shares @ 64.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$11.78
$2.17
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 40.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.10
$0.10
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
55 shares @ 14.2¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.42
$-0.37
- YES
Next Token Sale on Coinbase by December 31, 2026?
15 shares @ 60.0¢·now 41.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.15
$-2.85
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 29.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.45
$-0.45
- YES
Will Jeremiah Fears win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
1268 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-8.75
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $640 in July?$1.00Jul 6, 18:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 4, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $640 in July?$25.00Jul 3, 01:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 3, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.55Jul 3, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $640 in July?$33.00Jul 2, 08:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$5.08Jul 1, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$5.12Jul 1, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$5.12Jul 1, 07:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $13.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 05:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.