Will Elon Musk announce a presidential run before 2027?
Probability
6¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$27.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
-0.5pp 7dTimeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5943.0h
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 6¢.
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryconsensus of credible reportingTypeNews consensusConfidenceextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
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