Loud-Jumpsuit
0xcbcc79a92f4730a8bdd9874f1e2704da57fe1377
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$108.90
Total PnL
$-94.39
Realised
$-32.35
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- FUT ESPORTS
Valorant: FUT Esports vs BBL Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha
123 shares @ 43.7¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$52.44
$-1.51
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?
1369 shares @ 2.8¢·now 2.6¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$36.27
$-2.39
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
131 shares @ 14.5¢·now 9.7¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$12.65
$-6.35
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?
2217 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$3.32
$-6.67
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?
171 shares @ 3.7¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.48
$-3.80
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp Nov 1, 2026$1.25
$-0.75
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Indiana Pacers in 2026-27?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- NATUS VINCERE
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha
379 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-40.05
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$0.00Jul 23, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: FUT Esports vs BBL Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha$55.47Jul 23, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$147.03Jul 23, 19:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$46.60Jul 23, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha$28.76Jul 23, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha$13.08Jul 23, 18:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$0.00Jul 23, 17:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill LeBron sign his next NBA contract by July 20, 2026?$0.00Jul 23, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$1.07Jul 23, 17:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$0.31Jul 23, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$1.04Jul 23, 17:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$1.25Jul 23, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$1.04Jul 23, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$2.12Jul 23, 17:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$3.51Jul 23, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$2.06Jul 23, 17:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?$2.35Jul 23, 17:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$13.89Jul 23, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$10.20Jul 23, 15:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$0.18Jul 23, 15:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
14/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $81.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 18, 21:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 19:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.