Concerned-Astrolabe
0xcbd542c4cd2e4609e5e824fff643b0ca616e82c9
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$17.51
Total PnL
$-549.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
53 shares @ 19.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.93
$-2.07
- YES
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?
32 shares @ 33.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.19
$-5.51
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.39
$-5.61
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?
5911 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?
2565 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by April 30, 2026?
1560 shares @ 19.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-299.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
22 shares @ 67.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$7.95Jun 13, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$0.20Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$3.07Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$142.46Jun 12, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?$6.19Jun 12, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?$5.02Jun 12, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?$1.00Jun 12, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?$2.50Jun 12, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?$5.00Jun 12, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?$0.29Jun 12, 09:51 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$1.1KJun 12, 08:21 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$43.50Jun 12, 08:04 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$2.88Jun 12, 08:02 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$200.00Jun 12, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$182.55Jun 12, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$1.0KJun 12, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$1.0KJun 12, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?$103.93Jun 12, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?$103.84Jun 12, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$19.23Jun 12, 03:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $184.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 01:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.