Lavish-Flock
0xcbf21a86d9d2d7e305d57ba128e6a80d678de49b
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$3.17
Total PnL
$-8.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
3 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$3.17
$1.17
- NO
Will SPD win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
175 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?
40 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will 5–7 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by March 31?
16 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?
11 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
8 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitBoy convicted?$0.00Apr 6, 14:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitBoy convicted?$2.86Apr 6, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitBoy convicted?$2.00Mar 22, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$2.00Mar 22, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?$2.00Mar 22, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 5–7 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by March 31?$1.00Mar 22, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?$1.00Mar 22, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?$2.00Mar 22, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?$2.00Mar 22, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SPD win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?$2.00Mar 22, 18:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $1.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 18:20 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 6, 14:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.