Murky-Resist
0xcbf45e4a1de6f54869fedf2ab7c064f248948723
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$120.16
Total PnL
$-308.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14?
120 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$120.16
$0.16
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?
5700 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.70
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
550 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.60
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
361 shares @ 76.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-274.87
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
199 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-16.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
98 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-6.60
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
16 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-0.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14?$120.02Jun 14, 04:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$120.23Jun 14, 04:15 UTC
- REWARD$1.51Jun 2, 00:25 UTC
- REWARD$0.35Jun 2, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$120.02Jun 1, 12:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$126.26Jun 1, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$125.06May 22, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 18?$100.52May 22, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 18?$100.03May 17, 05:39 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$124.49May 17, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$123.00May 13, 05:16 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$122.53May 13, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$118.00May 10, 06:24 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?$118.19May 10, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?$115.00May 8, 05:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$115.35May 8, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$115.02May 4, 09:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$115.14May 4, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$114.59Apr 22, 12:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 14?$114.59Apr 22, 12:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $34.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 14:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 04:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.