Murky-Overview
0xcc00d44f6cd23df7a92878a50ebaba4e6b4d0115
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$853.29
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$-5.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
1909 shares @ 10.5¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$219.55
$19.55
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
1053 shares @ 19.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$184.21
$-15.79
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
625 shares @ 32.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$171.88
$-28.13
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
2000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 4.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$85.00
$-115.00
- YES
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?
871 shares @ 7.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.93
$-13.07
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
544 shares @ 18.4¢·now 8.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$43.22
$-56.78
- YES
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?
315 shares @ 23.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$36.19
$-36.19
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
390 shares @ 25.9¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$33.18
$-67.91
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
1320 shares @ 5.7¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$28.24
$-46.76
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
211 shares @ 6.2¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.90
$-9.17
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$3.49May 14, 16:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$18.38May 14, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$103.08May 14, 16:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 10, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$761.73May 9, 09:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 9, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$298.36May 8, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$100.00May 8, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$100.00May 8, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$110.00May 8, 19:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 3, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $154.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 19:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 16:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".