Negligible-Last
0xcc033f89eb48f85ed62b727f0745bb651578d5c0
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$71.6K
Total PnL
$-6.7K
Realised
$19.1K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
30000 shares @ 71.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.9K
$1.7K
- NO
Iran leadership change by December 31?
24222 shares @ 79.7¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.3K
$-43.99
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?
11859 shares @ 84.3¢·now 85.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.1K
$80.43
- NO
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
35280 shares @ 34.6¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$4.8K
$-7.4K
- NO
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?
5825 shares @ 68.7¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$4.0K
$47.74
- NO
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?
3113 shares @ 84.6¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.9K
$244.41
- YES
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?
19441 shares @ 32.3¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$2.2K
$-4.1K
- YES
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
2224 shares @ 89.9¢·now 88.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.0K
$-43.29
- NO
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?
5377 shares @ 30.1¢·now 32.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.7K
$102.76
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
1000 shares @ 75.3¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$905.00
$151.69
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by December 31?$19.3KJul 29, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by June 30, 2027?$4.0KJul 29, 06:31 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$23.2KJul 29, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$23.5KJul 29, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?$2.0KJul 29, 06:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$25.6KJul 29, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?$569.80Jul 28, 02:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$546.00Jul 28, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$10.7KJul 24, 06:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$10.7KJul 24, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$10.6KJul 24, 06:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$10.7KJul 24, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown?$760.00Jul 24, 06:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$356.00Jul 24, 06:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$356.00Jul 24, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$22.3KJul 20, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?$10.0KJul 20, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?$1.0KJul 20, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?$1.6KJul 20, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown?$999.42Jul 20, 00:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $6.4K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 11:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 06:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.