Querulous-Purr
0xcc03b2e316a07912c72604c8557ab5c802b4662b
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$89.88
Realised
$-3.06
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
1141 shares @ 83.9¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$121.12
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
340 shares @ 91.2¢·now 96.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$328.75
$18.99
- YES
Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by December 31?
16 shares @ 25.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.96
$2.96
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
38 shares @ 2.6¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.63
$-0.37
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
1747 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $700B and $800B at market close on IPO day?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?
1167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
967 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Jul 3, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 1, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$15.22Jun 30, 19:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 27, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$6.12Jun 26, 19:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$1.00Jun 26, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$1.04Jun 26, 06:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?$5.80Jun 26, 06:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 26, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$4.45Jun 25, 20:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 25, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 24, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$9.87Jun 23, 17:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 23, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 21, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $3.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 18:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 00:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.