Palatable-Moccasins
0xcc193a2342c5fd33ee497cc3f0eaea35ef69eaff
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-14.90
Win rate
42%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
16687 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.14
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
14580 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-21.52
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 19?
9888 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-43.11
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 18?
1037 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.18
- UP
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on February 18?
1022 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-13.57
- YES
Will Amazon dip to $192 in February?
600 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-42.85
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of June 1 2026?
587 shares @ 90.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-533.16
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 20?
300 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-29.00
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
225 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-27.07
- YES
Will NVIDIA reach $200 in February?
200 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-164.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?$100.00Jul 12, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?$20.13Jun 18, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?$2.97Jun 18, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?$9.90Jun 18, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?$59.00Jun 17, 19:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta (META) finish week of June 1 above $650?$8.77Jun 12, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of June 1 2026?$15.88Jun 5, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of June 1 2026?$160.52Jun 5, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of June 1 2026?$184.20Jun 5, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) finish week of June 1 above $650?$8.68Jun 5, 15:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of June 1 2026?$128.49Jun 5, 15:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of June 1 2026?$55.20Jun 5, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of June 1 2026?$183.20Jun 5, 13:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of June 1 2026?$12.62Jun 5, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of June 1 2026?$107.42Jun 5, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of June 1 2026?$13.81Jun 4, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of June 1 2026?$50.69Jun 4, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of June 1 2026?$14.08Jun 4, 17:02 UTC
- REWARD$1.35May 31, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$192.00May 30, 10:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
42% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $74.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 29, 19:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 13:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.