Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?
Probability
34¢
1h
+1.5pp
24h
+2.5pp
24h Vol
$42.66
Liquidity
$20.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
+1.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1860.6h
- 11:21SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1861h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 34¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 33¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 33¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 33¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 33¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 34¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 34¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the region or country of the esports team winning 1st place in the Mid-Season Invitational 2026 (MSI 2026), currently scheduled for June 26 - July 12, 2026. If the winner of MSI 2026 is not determined by July 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Mid-Season_Invitational/2026) may also be used. Regions counted in MSI 2026: - LCK (South Korea) - LPL (China) - LEC (Europe / EMEA) - LCP (Asia-Pacific) - LCS (North America) - CBLOL (Brazil)
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jul 12, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).