Artistic-Walking
0xcc27a9d551b306ffe40e76b9213883c0b18a1178
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$39.38
Total PnL
$-165.26
Realised
$-4.30
Win rate
0%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
5 shares @ 96.0¢·now 96.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$5.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
5 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$5.00
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 18?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$4.97
$0.02
- NO
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
5 shares @ 98.5¢·now 97.8¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$4.96
$-0.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 18?
5 shares @ 97.3¢·now 96.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$4.96
$-0.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C or higher on August 18?
5 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$4.92
$0.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 18?
5 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$4.92
$0.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 18?
5 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$4.63
$0.03
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
975 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-19.50
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
973 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-38.91
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 18?$4.60Aug 16, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 18?$4.90Aug 16, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 18?$4.95Aug 16, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C or higher on August 18?$4.90Aug 16, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 18?$5.01Aug 16, 09:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 15?$4.99Aug 16, 00:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 15?$5.00Aug 15, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$5.00Aug 15, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$5.01Aug 15, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$5.00Aug 15, 18:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 15?$5.00Aug 15, 16:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 15?$2.00Aug 15, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on August 15?$5.00Aug 15, 16:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 15?$2.00Aug 15, 16:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 15?$5.00Aug 15, 15:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 15?$2.00Aug 15, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on August 15?$4.70Aug 14, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 15?$4.80Aug 14, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 15?$4.80Aug 13, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 15?$4.95Aug 13, 15:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
20 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 39/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $4.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 21:13 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 16, 11:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.