Comfortable-Estate
0xcc44378ba5e8804a72be0bfa17d12286352af9ca
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$5.72
Total PnL
$-189.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?
487 shares @ 4.1¢·now 1.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$4.87
$-15.13
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
45 shares @ 67.0¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.85
$-29.15
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
19333 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-36.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
928 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?
875 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
747 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 12?
464 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.64
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
333 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
271 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
222 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Iran Play in the World Cup?$20.58Jun 7, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$30.00Jun 7, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$1.00Apr 15, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US withdraw from NATO by April 30?$10.00Apr 15, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$7.00Apr 13, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$6.00Apr 12, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$1.00Apr 12, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$5.00Apr 12, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$20.00Apr 12, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$1.00Apr 12, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 12?$5.00Apr 12, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$2.00Apr 12, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$1.00Apr 11, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$1.00Apr 11, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?$7.00Apr 11, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?$5.00Apr 11, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$1.00Apr 10, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$1.00Apr 10, 12:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$9.71Apr 10, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$3.00Apr 10, 12:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $5.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 04:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 7, 19:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.