Moral-Igloo
0xcc6fe4d8c50255a2b90db2c0d83360faeae9d5e6
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$3.76
Total PnL
$-21.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.91
$1.91
- YES
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.84
$-0.16
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez applaud during Trump's State of the Union?
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Starmer say "Muslim" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
11 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Powell say "Simulation" during March press conference?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Defund" in Rome, GA on February 19?
8 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Powell say "Fed" or "Federal Reserve" 7+ times during March press conference?
7 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Mitch McConnell applaud during Trump's State of the Union?
6 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
5 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Muslim" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$5.11Jun 8, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$1.00Jun 8, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 8, 16:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Sorry" or "Pardon" during March press conference?$0.00Mar 19, 12:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Sorry" or "Pardon" during March press conference?$7.23Mar 19, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Sorry" or "Pardon" during March press conference?$6.00Mar 17, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Simulation" during March press conference?$1.00Mar 17, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Fed" or "Federal Reserve" 7+ times during March press conference?$4.00Mar 17, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez applaud during Trump's State of the Union?$1.00Feb 23, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mitch McConnell applaud during Trump's State of the Union?$5.00Feb 23, 20:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast say "Subscribe" during his next YouTube video?$0.00Feb 22, 21:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast say "Subscribe" during his next YouTube video?$10.00Feb 22, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$3.50Feb 19, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$1.00Feb 19, 23:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "America" or "American" 30+ times in Rome, GA on February 19?$6.67Feb 19, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "America" or "American" 30+ times in Rome, GA on February 19?$4.00Feb 19, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$1.00Feb 19, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Defund" in Rome, GA on February 19?$2.00Feb 19, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Subscribe" during his next YouTube video?$5.00Feb 17, 14:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bernie Sanders say "Percent" 15+ times during the Fighting Oligarchy rally?$10.94Feb 14, 17:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $3.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 13, 14:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 16:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.