Outlying-Wasabi
0xcc7c1f044ddb2e002345f9f05b4e941e54a11d18
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
129
Open notional
$11.6K
Total PnL
$-3.4K
Realised
$1.8K
Win rate
94%
51 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 129- NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
10427 shares @ 55.6¢·now 50.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$5.3K
$-533.65
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
12654 shares @ 12.4¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.6K
$6.82
- YES
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?
1410 shares @ 91.9¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$1.3K
$1.18
- NO
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
8043 shares @ 13.4¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.1K
$6.51
- YES
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
400 shares @ 62.2¢·now 81.7¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$326.60
$77.80
- YES
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?
2311 shares @ 17.9¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$312.03
$-102.02
- YES
Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?
1405 shares @ 38.9¢·now 19.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2027$266.95
$-279.70
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 10.2¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$96.50
$-5.50
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 90.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$94.00
$4.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 23, 2026?
100 shares @ 90.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$94.00
$4.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.00Jun 13, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.00Jun 13, 17:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$0.05Jun 13, 17:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$0.06Jun 13, 17:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.01Jun 13, 17:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.64Jun 13, 17:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.12Jun 13, 17:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.21Jun 13, 17:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.00Jun 13, 17:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.17Jun 13, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.00Jun 13, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?$0.11Jun 13, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.00Jun 13, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$510.00Jun 13, 16:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$17.51Jun 13, 16:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.09Jun 13, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.07Jun 13, 16:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$66.18Jun 13, 16:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$0.10Jun 13, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?$32.00Jun 13, 16:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $28.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 13:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 18:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 51 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.