Punctual-Haversack
0xcc7cc758832741d13ad773e7074215922e354ce2
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
50
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$59.25
Realised
$62.21
Win rate
50%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- NO
Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $6B by August 31?
123 shares @ 81.5¢·now 98.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$120.22
$20.22
- NO
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $300B by December 31?
110 shares @ 91.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$102.20
$2.20
- NO
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $600B by August 31?
125 shares @ 72.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$95.00
$5.00
- YES
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $165B by August 31?
79 shares @ 62.9¢·now 94.3¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$74.94
$24.94
- NO
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by August 31?
70 shares @ 71.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$64.77
$14.77
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
64 shares @ 78.0¢·now 97.3¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$62.37
$12.37
- YES
Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 10 minutes long?
64 shares @ 93.2¢·now 93.0¢·exp Aug 27, 2026$59.88
$-0.12
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in August?
60 shares @ 84.0¢·now 97.7¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$58.15
$8.15
- NO
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 35 by August 31?
106 shares @ 47.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$55.85
$5.85
- NO
Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 150m by August 31?
55 shares @ 91.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$53.98
$3.98
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $39B by August 31?$22.69Aug 18, 10:46 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$0.71Aug 18, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $165B by August 31?$3.11Aug 18, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M?$50.34Aug 17, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $165B by August 31?$50.74Aug 17, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $175B by August 31?$10.15Aug 17, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $175B by August 31?$20.39Aug 16, 00:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude go down 14+ times in August?$120.24Aug 15, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the GTA 6 extended look be at least 10 minutes long?$60.20Aug 15, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?$50.16Aug 15, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $39B by August 31?$50.30Aug 13, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $8B by August 31?$50.13Aug 13, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?$20.25Aug 13, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $600B by August 31?$2.06Aug 13, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $175B by August 31?$30.37Aug 13, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $9B by August 31?$50.18Aug 13, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$30.24Aug 13, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?$50.00Aug 13, 09:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?$18.94Aug 13, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?$20.61Aug 13, 09:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
33/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $26.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 5, 11:14 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 10:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.