Punctual-Haversack
0xcc7cc758832741d13ad773e7074215922e354ce2
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$748.27
Total PnL
$51.57
Realised
$2.82
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $37.5B by July 31?
119 shares @ 84.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$105.36
$5.36
- NO
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?
104 shares @ 95.9¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$102.61
$2.61
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
101 shares @ 87.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$101.13
$12.93
- NO
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $170B by July 31?
122 shares @ 74.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$96.08
$6.08
- NO
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 7?
72 shares @ 69.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$69.57
$19.57
- YES
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?
76 shares @ 83.4¢·now 77.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$58.23
$-4.78
- NO
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
62 shares @ 81.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$52.78
$2.78
- NO
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.35T by July 31?
61 shares @ 82.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$50.30
$0.30
- NO
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
24 shares @ 85.1¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$23.41
$3.41
- YES
Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?
25 shares @ 81.2¢·now 84.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$20.70
$0.70
Recent activity
- REDEEMLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winner$58.14Jul 4, 11:05 UTC
- REDEEMNocries signs for a pro CS2 organization by June 30?$27.78Jul 4, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?$20.26Jul 4, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winner$1.54Jul 4, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winner$50.21Jul 4, 08:30 UTC
- REDEEMArgentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance$70.17Jul 4, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance$50.43Jul 4, 00:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMAustralia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$0.29Jul 3, 22:39 UTC
- TRADESELLAustralia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$35.45Jul 3, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustralia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$50.31Jul 3, 18:37 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?$48.94Jul 3, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?$50.00Jul 3, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $170B by July 31?$90.94Jul 3, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.35T by July 31?$50.36Jul 3, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $37.5B by July 31?$100.64Jul 3, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?$30.27Jul 3, 17:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in June 2026?$0.00Jul 3, 15:33 UTC
- REDEEM Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$0.00Jul 3, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?$20.00Jul 3, 13:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $47.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 19:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 11:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.