Waterlogged-Gossip
0xcc8f93b614c1fce8d6c6be338f4ed02afdfeb5d6
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$16.03
Total PnL
$-34.36
Realised
$-0.83
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
13 shares @ 7.6¢·now 10.8¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$1.41
$0.41
- YES
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
24 shares @ 4.2¢·now 4.5¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?
15 shares @ 6.6¢·now 7.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?
26 shares @ 3.8¢·now 3.9¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?
30 shares @ 3.3¢·now 3.4¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?
27 shares @ 3.7¢·now 3.6¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will Honório Augusto Lopes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
28 shares @ 3.6¢·now 3.4¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.94
$-0.06
- YES
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?
24 shares @ 4.1¢·now 3.8¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.91
$-0.09
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? AND Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?$1.03Jun 14, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?$1.03Jun 14, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$19.01Jun 13, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$1.03Jun 13, 19:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$0.17Jun 13, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$1.03Jun 13, 19:29 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$173.96Jun 13, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$157.20Jun 13, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in June?$1.00Jun 13, 14:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$24.00Jun 12, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$17.18Jun 12, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grimes be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?$2.10Jun 12, 09:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$77.45Jun 11, 20:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill South Africa win on 2026-06-11?$0.04Jun 11, 20:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$74.24Jun 11, 20:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$1.71Jun 11, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$135.36Jun 11, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win on 2026-06-11?$1.03Jun 11, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?$1.04Jun 10, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iraq win on 2026-06-22?$1.03Jun 10, 11:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $28.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 20:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 12:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.