Wallet digest

active

Activity score

50/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-221.27

Realised

$2.19

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 29

NO
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?
20017 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025
$0.00
$-22.00
NO
Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025
$0.00
$-5.00
YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 8-14 be greater than 17,500,000?
2155 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025
$0.00
$-5.00
YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 8-14 be between 17,000,000 and 17,500,000?
1484 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025
$0.00
$-5.00
YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 8-14 be less than 15,500,000?
877 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025
$0.00
$-3.00
YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 8-14 be between 15,500,000 and 16,000,000?
750 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025
$0.00
$-3.00
YES
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?
333 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025
$0.00
$-10.00
YES
Will Santa deliver more than 8,400,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?
217 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025
$0.00
$-5.00
DOWN
Solana Up or Down - December 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025
$0.00
$-2.00
UP
Solana Up or Down - December 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025
$0.00
$-2.00

Recent activity

REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$0.01Jan 31, 13:09 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$0.35Jan 31, 12:49 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$7.53Jan 31, 12:49 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$7.60Jan 31, 12:49 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$4.14Jan 31, 12:46 UTC
TRADESELLGTA 6 launch postponed again?$4.10Jan 31, 12:46 UTC
TRADEBUYMaduro mugshot released by January 16?$20.00Jan 6, 11:17 UTC
REDEEMWill MicroStrategy hold 680k+ BTC by December 31?$0.00Jan 6, 11:16 UTC
REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,600 in December?$0.00Jan 6, 11:16 UTC
REDEEMWill MicroStrategy hold 680k+ BTC by December 31?$0.00Jan 6, 11:15 UTC
REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,600 in December?$0.00Jan 6, 11:15 UTC
REDEEMWill MicroStrategy hold 680k+ BTC by December 31?$8.49Jan 6, 11:15 UTC
REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,600 in December?$10.71Jan 6, 11:15 UTC
TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?$5.00Dec 29, 11:01 UTC
TRADEBUYWill the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on January 6, 2026?$6.00Dec 28, 23:01 UTC
REDEEMWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?$4.82Dec 28, 11:02 UTC
REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on December 19?$7.02Dec 28, 11:02 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$46.34Dec 19, 09:16 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$40.26Dec 19, 09:06 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$25.00Dec 19, 08:59 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity40 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence3 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry7 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk49 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 40
Avg trade size: $13.76
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Dec 18, 07:55 UTC
Last active: Jan 31, 13:09 UTC
Win rate sample: 1 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

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updated 20:29:10 UTC·src:Polymarket Data