That-Malice
0xccf7830c689945e6cb6fdf6092086a5634d5e81c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-479.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will $USDT depeg by September 30?
375 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
303 shares @ 41.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-125.00
- YES
Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 225-249 October 11-18?
222 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Bitcoin above $63,000 on September 27?
139 shares @ 25.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 27, 2024$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by January 31, 2025?
136 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will Leicester City beat Bournemouth?
134 shares @ 74.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Russia capture Toretsk before October?
125 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2024$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
100 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2024$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,200 July 20-26?$298.30Jul 27, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,200 July 20-26?$298.02Jul 25, 07:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $58,000 July 13-19?$290.29Jul 20, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $58,000 July 13-19?$290.02Jul 19, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 13-19?$3.19Jul 19, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 July 6-12?$300.98Jul 13, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 July 6-12?$300.07Jul 8, 14:42 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?$299.56Jul 8, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?$290.00Jul 1, 16:48 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?$208.18Jul 1, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?$200.00May 30, 15:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May?$280.50May 30, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May?$278.20May 3, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?$5.33May 3, 19:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,400 in April?$286.11May 3, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,400 in April?$285.84Apr 27, 18:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $88,000 April 20-26?$285.84Apr 27, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 13-19?$0.00Apr 22, 12:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 13-19?$0.00Apr 22, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $88,000 April 20-26?$283.40Apr 22, 12:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $142.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 13, 17:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 04:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.