Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 April 20-26?
Probability
0¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.2pp
24h Vol
$64.0K
Liquidity
$24.9K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Heavy volume on this book — 2.6× turnover
$64.0k traded against $24.9k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 35h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $24.9k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 4
Expiry in 35h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 35 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 35.4h
- 16:35SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 35h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 07:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.8pp
to 0¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 0¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 0¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 27, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Market expires Apr 27, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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