Shimmering-Barometer
0xcd2b5e688b5d00abda357da821c5b0d4a3a266fe
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$309.33
Total PnL
$64.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
156 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$156.25
$56.25
- YES
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?
38 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$38.46
$18.46
- UP
XRP Up or Down on January 3?
11 shares @ 87.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$11.39
$1.39
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on January 3?
11 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$10.87
$0.87
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 3?
11 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$10.53
$0.53
- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?
11 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.45
$0.45
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 3?
10 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$10.42
$0.42
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 96.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$10.38
$0.38
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
10 shares @ 96.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$10.33
$0.33
- YES
Will Gold (GC) settle over $3,600 on the final trading day of January 2026?
10 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$10.12
$0.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$100.00Jan 3, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?$20.00Jan 3, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$10.00Jan 3, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYJefferies Financial Group (JEF) Up or Down After Earnings?$5.00Jan 3, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) settle over $3,600 on the final trading day of January 2026?$10.00Jan 3, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?$10.00Jan 3, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of January?$10.00Jan 3, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?$10.00Jan 3, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on January 3?$10.00Jan 3, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 3?$10.00Jan 3, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on January 3?$10.00Jan 3, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,600 December 29-January 4?$10.00Jan 3, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 3?$10.00Jan 3, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$10.00Jan 3, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$10.00Jan 3, 08:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$10.71Jan 3, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$10.00Nov 19, 08:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$32.43Nov 19, 08:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?$195.76Nov 19, 08:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mikie Sherrill win by 9-12%?$496.50Nov 19, 08:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $70.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 08:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 3, 08:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".