Winged-Mouton
0xcd537c392c6d75012fb6e547b141c937eb79f9ed
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$15.89
Total PnL
$-2.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?
3 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.56
$0.56
- YES
Will Tarik Skubal win the 2025 AL Cy Young?
2 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$2.47
$0.47
- YES
Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$2.00
$1.00
- YES
Will The Pitt win Best Ensemble in a Drama Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$1.22
$0.22
- YES
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 82.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.21
$0.21
- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 28 be less than 2,000,000?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$1.16
$0.16
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 8?
1 shares @ 86.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$1.16
$0.16
- YES
Will Napoli finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- YES
Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$1.08
$0.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?$1.00Feb 11, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?$1.00Feb 5, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for January 28 be less than 2,000,000?$1.00Jan 28, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 22, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYFogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?$1.00Jan 5, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Pitt win Best Ensemble in a Drama Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?$1.00Dec 25, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?$1.00Dec 18, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?$1.00Dec 10, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Squid Game be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?$1.00Nov 27, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$1.00Nov 20, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?$1.00Nov 12, 12:40 UTC
- REDEEMYieldbasis FDV above $500M one day after launch?$1.03Nov 6, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Yemen 0 times by October 31?$1.08Nov 6, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 8?$1.00Nov 6, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYStable FDV above $2B one day after launch?$1.00Oct 29, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Yemen 0 times by October 31?$1.00Oct 22, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYYieldbasis FDV above $500M one day after launch?$1.00Oct 15, 12:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Peter Mutharika win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?$1.12Oct 9, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Studio win the Emmy for Outstanding Comedy Series?$1.20Oct 9, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Cleveland Guardians win the AL Central Division?$1.47Oct 9, 05:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 06:32 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 11, 12:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".