Will Napoli finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?
Probability
98¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.7pp
24h Vol
$645.66
Liquidity
$3.9K
Probability (last 7 days)
-1.1pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 781.3h
- 10:41SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 781h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 98¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 98¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.9pp
to 94¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.9pp
to 94¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.9pp
to 94¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.2pp
to 95¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 94¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.3pp
to 95¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.4pp
to 95¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.2pp
to 94¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 94¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 94¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.4pp
to 94¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 94¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.6pp
to 94¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.6pp
to 94¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.4pp
to 94¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.6pp
to 94¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This is a polymarket to predict which clubs finish in the top 4 of the Serie A standings for the 2025-26 season. If the listed club officially finishes in the top 4 of the Serie A standings at the end of the season, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If two or more clubs are tied on points for a top 4 position, resolution will follow the official Serie A tiebreaking procedures. If the 2025-26 Serie A season is cancelled or not completed before October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from Serie A soccer. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 28, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).