Full-Deformation
0xcd68f6dab0fd845d612d76432d64063dd93fffc6
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$100.10
Total PnL
$-11.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 9?
100 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$100.10
$0.10
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on December 22?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 25?
1021 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.04
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 21?
1010 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.03
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on November 10?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3,400 on December 22?
680 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-2.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 9?$100.01Jun 9, 11:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 6?$100.10Jun 9, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 6?$100.01Jun 5, 10:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$100.10Jun 5, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$100.00May 25, 09:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?$100.10May 25, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?$100.01May 21, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$99.10May 21, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$99.00May 14, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 10?$99.10May 14, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 10?$99.01May 9, 12:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$99.10May 9, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$99.00May 6, 06:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,200 in April?$99.09May 6, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,200 in April?$99.00Apr 28, 09:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 25?$99.09Apr 28, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 25?$99.00Apr 25, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 25?$2.20Apr 25, 06:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 66°F or higher on April 19?$101.19Apr 25, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 66°F or higher on April 19?$101.00Apr 19, 09:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $93.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 3, 07:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 11:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.