Feisty-Hammock
0xcd75a4bcaf8945e62896d6de840926c7c111378e
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$118.67
Total PnL
$-62.41
Realised
$-1.23
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
29 shares @ 86.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$26.45
$1.45
- NO
Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?
30 shares @ 74.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$25.20
$3.00
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
26 shares @ 78.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.64
$0.64
- YES
Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?
30 shares @ 45.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$13.35
$-0.15
- YES
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1500 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
450 shares @ 1.6¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.63
$2.23
- YES
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 3.0¢·now 3.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.75
$0.75
- YES
Will a player representing Germany be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
43 shares @ 5.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$3.44
$1.28
- YES
Will Raphinha be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
300 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.25
$-3.75
- YES
Will FIFA World Cup 2026 be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 19?
16 shares @ 61.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$2.13
$-7.87
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Raphinha be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.04Jun 14, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Raphinha be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.20Jun 14, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Raphinha be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.20Jun 14, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Raphinha be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.20Jun 14, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Raphinha be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.35Jun 14, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FIFA World Cup 2026 be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 19?$10.19Jun 14, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$20.00Jun 14, 01:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?$30.00Jun 9, 19:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $3.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 01:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 10:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.