Nice-Perennial
0xcdb1f1ef8213c06911e4ba6a884176c5571e276c
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$57.6K
Total PnL
$3.7K
Realised
$3.2K
Win rate
94%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
15000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$12.8K
$5.3K
- NO
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
6601 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$6.6K
$34.66
- NO
AI bubble burst in 2026?
5843 shares @ 75.6¢·now 79.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.6K
$214.25
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
4895 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$4.5K
$24.48
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
4000 shares @ 97.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.0K
$78.51
- NO
Anthropic CEO arrested?
3553 shares @ 98.6¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.5K
$15.01
- YES
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?
3400 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.4K
$9.11
- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
3366 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 29, 2026$3.3K
$-6.26
- NO
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?
3345 shares @ 98.6¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.3K
$10.39
- YES
Will Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026?
2228 shares @ 98.7¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.2K
$17.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$40.64Jun 13, 13:25 UTC
- SPLITWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.7KJun 13, 13:25 UTC
- SPLITWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$300.00Jun 13, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$521.20Jun 13, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$119.28Jun 13, 13:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?$5.77Jun 13, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$397.20Jun 13, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$2.1KJun 13, 13:07 UTC
- MERGEWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$8.0KJun 13, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$198.90Jun 13, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$115.00Jun 13, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1.6KJun 13, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$15.86Jun 13, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$15.96Jun 13, 11:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$59.15Jun 13, 10:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$4.98Jun 13, 10:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$4.98Jun 13, 10:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$5.34Jun 13, 10:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$4.98Jun 13, 10:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$4.98Jun 13, 10:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $200.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 05:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 13:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.