0xcdbfdac42aeac5837d105e255c1131e7bf751926
0xcdbfdac42aeac5837d105e255c1131e7bf751926
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-15.2K
Realised
$2.7K
Win rate
63%
59 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
1105 shares @ 11.5¢·now 22.9¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$252.99
$126.49
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-21 House seat?
1431 shares @ 9.5¢·now 15.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$214.65
$78.64
- YES
Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?
788 shares @ 29.9¢·now 27.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$212.75
$-22.58
- YES
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
829 shares @ 10.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$157.45
$74.58
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-03 House seat?
950 shares @ 10.4¢·now 11.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$109.25
$10.25
- YES
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
801 shares @ 26.9¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$104.15
$-111.03
- YES
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3947 shares @ 2.3¢·now 1.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$69.07
$-21.71
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
785 shares @ 11.1¢·now 8.4¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$65.94
$-20.80
- NO
Will Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?
2436 shares @ 5.4¢·now 2.6¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$63.33
$-68.43
- YES
Will Sandy Spidel Neumann be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?
1474 shares @ 4.0¢·now 4.3¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$63.22
$4.68
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill David Hann be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?$0.01Jun 13, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill David Hann be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?$0.07Jun 13, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill David Hann be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?$0.05Jun 13, 00:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- REWARD$3.22Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill David Hann be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?$0.01Jun 12, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chuck Smith be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?$0.02Jun 12, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Florida use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?$36.00Jun 12, 04:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?$29.79Jun 12, 02:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?$39.65Jun 12, 02:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- REWARD$4.27Jun 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill David Hann be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?$0.00Jun 11, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill David Hann be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?$0.02Jun 11, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?$16.68Jun 11, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?$12.26Jun 11, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?$7.80Jun 11, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jorge Malavet be the Republican nominee for FL-09?$1.80Jun 11, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dan Rooney be the Republican nominee for OK-01?$0.07Jun 11, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dan Rooney be the Republican nominee for OK-01?$0.15Jun 11, 10:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $32.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 03:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 01:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 59 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.