Young-Snowman
0xcddc2dfcdfe2e518a7b4414b5395dd123fb1217c
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$10.28
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
12 shares @ 85.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$9.82
$-0.18
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
61 shares @ 32.9¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.46
$-19.54
- YES
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?
1772 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-55.00
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 4?
1646 shares @ 42.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-700.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 4?
1055 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
909 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
769 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will France strike Iran by March 31?
655 shares @ 15.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?
601 shares @ 16.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
555 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?$55.38Mar 15, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?$10.00Mar 15, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$100.00Mar 15, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$100.00Mar 15, 06:29 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?$247.31Mar 15, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$8.08Mar 15, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?$245.33Mar 14, 00:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?$97.85Mar 14, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?$100.00Mar 14, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 14?$100.00Mar 14, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 16?$100.00Mar 14, 00:18 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by March 13?$1.49Mar 14, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$5.00Mar 14, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$10.97Mar 10, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by March 13?$5.00Mar 10, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$10.00Mar 10, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$5.00Mar 10, 19:06 UTC
- TRADESELLPakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by March 31?$304.75Mar 10, 18:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?$137.52Mar 10, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$20.00Mar 10, 18:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $65.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 14:58 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 15, 06:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.