Monumental-Diarist
0xcdfdb699776138fa2e6ad89442cb486bd31d8b51
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-900.79
Realised
$-100.46
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
600 shares @ 83.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$567.00
$69.00
- YES
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
900 shares @ 22.9¢·now 46.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$419.85
$213.74
- YES
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
500 shares @ 28.2¢·now 32.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$163.75
$22.78
- YES
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
282 shares @ 19.3¢·now 51.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$146.08
$91.65
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1000 shares @ 10.6¢·now 12.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$124.50
$18.50
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
500 shares @ 35.9¢·now 21.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$106.00
$-73.39
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
2325 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-102.59
- YES
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
2000 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-82.94
- YES
Iran leadership change by May 31?
1200 shares @ 14.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-174.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
901 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-105.71
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 20, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 15, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 10, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.