Pastel-Classification
0xce0bfbe78fe94088d3442ebfdaa5ca816d718be5
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$415.59
Total PnL
$-199.49
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?
120 shares @ 95.0¢·now 94.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$112.98
$-1.01
- NO
Will NCAA March Madness Live be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?
100 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$100.00
$0.20
- NO
Will AnkiMobile Flashcards be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?
99 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$99.11
$0.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on March 22?
90 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$90.00
$0.18
- YES
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
50 shares @ 50.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$13.50
$-11.50
- NO
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?
106 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-96.46
- NO
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-91.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NCAA March Madness Live be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?$99.80Mar 22, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AnkiMobile Flashcards be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?$99.01Mar 22, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on March 22?$89.82Mar 22, 16:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 64-65°F on March 8?$50.00Mar 22, 16:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill "NUEVAYoL - Bad Bunny" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$77.95Mar 22, 16:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C on March 8?$80.00Mar 22, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLPredict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?$62.15Mar 8, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?$62.34Mar 8, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 64-65°F on March 8?$49.90Mar 8, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "NUEVAYoL - Bad Bunny" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$77.79Mar 8, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C on March 8?$79.92Mar 8, 17:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?$60.00Mar 8, 17:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on February 11?$60.00Mar 8, 17:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of February?$160.00Mar 8, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?$59.58Feb 11, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on February 11?$59.22Feb 11, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of February?$156.64Feb 11, 19:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 440m and 480m by January 31?$48.00Feb 11, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYMetamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?$113.99Feb 2, 13:40 UTC
- REDEEMUS strike on Colombia by January 31?$43.00Feb 2, 13:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $58.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 10, 15:51 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 22, 16:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".