Defenseless-Fallingout
0xce1a256431ef3a0b7ccaffa9475b10c7228fe247
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$85.85
Total PnL
$-60.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$27.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
81 shares @ 37.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.05
$-10.95
- YES
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
19 shares @ 54.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$11.02
$1.02
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
37 shares @ 37.4¢·now 24.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.34
$-4.66
- YES
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
181 shares @ 17.9¢·now 4.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$8.13
$-24.19
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
18 shares @ 55.0¢·now 36.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.55
$-3.45
- YES
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $312 in May?
213 shares @ 9.4¢·now 2.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$4.26
$-15.74
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?$5.80May 17, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?$5.02May 17, 16:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$31.15May 17, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Moldova win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 07:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$5.23May 16, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$10.34May 16, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moldova win Eurovision 2026?$9.44May 16, 21:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 7, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $14.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".