First-Fire
0xce1dab3de7df9bd0977055f0cc8f8d6825be81db
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$2.3K
Total PnL
$-887.14
Realised
$95.15
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?
711 shares @ 95.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$710.55
$33.86
- NO
Will turnout in the Bangladesh parliamentary election be 90% or higher?
520 shares @ 91.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$519.84
$42.88
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$167.50
$7.50
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 14.0¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$160.50
$20.50
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1126 shares @ 10.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$118.84
$6.20
- YES
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
164 shares @ 74.3¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$114.17
$-7.83
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$83.50
$-6.50
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 9.0¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$78.50
$-11.50
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
500 shares @ 39.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$62.50
$-132.50
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 7.0¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$51.50
$-18.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.08Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 31, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 25, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.