Impartial-Shoulder
0xce293b565c8d0955fc1c9023b2eced2cec2a3fe7
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
165
Open notional
$23.90
Total PnL
$-298.09
Realised
$13.52
Win rate
100%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 165- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
16 shares @ 63.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.87
$0.87
- YES
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
13 shares @ 40.0¢·now 56.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.00
$2.00
- YES
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.98
$1.98
- YES
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
2 shares @ 88.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.26
$0.26
- YES
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.78
$-0.22
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on March 12?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 3?
463 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.04
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
263 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$1.04May 21, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$1.05May 21, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$1.07May 21, 12:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$0.00May 21, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$1.06May 21, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?$1.01May 21, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?$5.12May 21, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$1.06May 21, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$1.00Apr 14, 18:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$2.18Apr 14, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?$1.00Apr 7, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?$1.00Apr 7, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?$1.00Apr 7, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?$1.00Apr 7, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$1.00Mar 31, 17:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$0.00Mar 31, 17:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$11.14Mar 31, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$1.00Mar 28, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$1.00Mar 28, 07:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$6.06Mar 28, 07:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $1.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 05:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 12:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".