0xce2df6b48621b101543a5a8f1974af81d48bf266
0xce2df6b48621b101543a5a8f1974af81d48bf266
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
72
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.0K
Realised
$-463.87
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 72- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on March 3?
5373 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-99.99
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?
2208 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on March 1?
2132 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
2069 shares @ 22.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-475.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 1?
2038 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-120.00
- NO
Will Iran strike Israel on March 7?
1794 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-23.00
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in February?
1679 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $800 in March?
1467 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?
1386 shares @ 15.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-214.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?
1290 shares @ 23.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$26.00May 4, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?$50.00May 4, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$100.00May 4, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$34.00Apr 12, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?$115.00Apr 12, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$50.00Apr 3, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?$150.00Apr 3, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?$150.00Apr 3, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April?$120.00Apr 3, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$27.00Mar 28, 15:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?$376.92Mar 27, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 28?$16.00Mar 24, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 27?$44.00Mar 24, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?$95.00Mar 9, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?$90.00Mar 8, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?$123.00Mar 8, 21:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,900 March 2-8?$29.04Mar 8, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?$19.00Mar 7, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 10?$37.00Mar 7, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,900 March 2-8?$27.00Mar 7, 20:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $115.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 13:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 19:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.