Ambitious-Oyster
0xce3961982e05e337c893d45d52117ac70d22c181
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
72
Open notional
$248.61
Total PnL
$-5.8K
Realised
$-112.92
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 72- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
871 shares @ 26.9¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$222.12
$-11.99
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
931 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$10.24
$1.05
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
2397 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$8.39
$1.20
- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
2 shares @ 41.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$2.44
$1.44
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
38 shares @ 5.4¢·now 6.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.38
$0.32
- NO
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$1.23
$0.23
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 60.0¢·now 30.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.01
$-0.99
- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 92.3¢·now 74.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.81
$-0.19
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?
16532 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-33.06
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?
4965 shares @ 14.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-704.65
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?$51.19Jun 4, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?$9.64Jun 4, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?$0.37Jun 4, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?$1.35Jun 4, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?$27.00Jun 4, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?$1.08Jun 4, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?$29.16Jun 4, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?$1.00Jun 4, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?$7.46Jun 4, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?$119.62Jun 4, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?$7.55Jun 4, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.05Apr 24, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?$31.63Apr 24, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?$18.40Apr 24, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?$79.91Apr 24, 06:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$135.51Apr 7, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$1.00Apr 6, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$41.18Apr 6, 16:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$43.71Apr 6, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$19.89Apr 6, 09:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $23.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 7, 07:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 08:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".