0xce3c393d3d678370af616f884928cd95458bf6e5
0xce3c393d3d678370af616f884928cd95458bf6e5
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$20.20
Total PnL
$-85.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
61 shares @ 31.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$12.56
$-6.44
- YES
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
117 shares @ 16.4¢·now 6.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2027$7.63
$-11.62
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12PM ET
15000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 2?
242 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-25.88
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
193 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.12
- YES
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
137 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.06
- YES
Will "DtMF - Bad Bunny" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
74 shares @ 13.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
29 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-8.51
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$8.51Apr 11, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GTA 6 cost $100+?$19.25Apr 8, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$0.25Apr 8, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$1.00Apr 7, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?$19.00Apr 2, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$2.12Apr 2, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$5.11Apr 1, 08:48 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$25.24Apr 1, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$5.00Mar 26, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$1.00Mar 25, 22:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?$7.94Mar 23, 12:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?$2.08Mar 23, 12:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?$3.75Mar 22, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?$27.00Mar 18, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?$15.00Mar 16, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$20.00Mar 15, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12PM ET$5.00Mar 15, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12PM ET$10.00Mar 15, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?$20.84Mar 15, 17:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$0.02Mar 15, 07:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $17.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 16:46 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 11, 14:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.