Disastrous-Margin
0xce4954688eeffd3db64b6f4e57c47b08287c4d44
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$271.04
Realised
$170.23
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
1000 shares @ 98.4¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$985.00
$1.00
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
310 shares @ 64.1¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$257.45
$58.70
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
480 shares @ 26.8¢·now 35.2¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$168.96
$40.20
- NO
Trump out as President by June 30?
100 shares @ 98.7¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$98.77
$0.08
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
100 shares @ 96.0¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$97.85
$1.85
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
550 shares @ 12.2¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$63.25
$-3.95
- NO
Will Apyx launch a token by September 30, 2026?
57 shares @ 94.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$54.12
$0.85
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
30 shares @ 85.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.65
$0.15
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 46.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will Apyx launch a token by September 30, 2027?
20 shares @ 95.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2027$17.80
$-1.20
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.48May 30, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jong$1.02May 29, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul$5.04May 29, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?$9.23May 29, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$23.10May 29, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$37.34May 29, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$7.42May 29, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$5.50May 29, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$10.79May 29, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$25.70May 29, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$59.62May 29, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$6.47May 29, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$14.20May 29, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$35.51May 29, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$12.33May 29, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$0.41May 29, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$0.14May 29, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$0.14May 29, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$0.36May 29, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$0.14May 29, 04:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $88.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 06:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".