0xce4dc9f878d9f833a5c4e9b2a77d1b4e4cacade4
0xce4dc9f878d9f833a5c4e9b2a77d1b4e4cacade4
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$221.24
Total PnL
$-48.94
Realised
$1.69
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- SEBASTIAN OFNER
Alicante: Sebastian Ofner vs Alejandro Moro Canas
22 shares @ 60.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$22.13
$8.83
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
21 shares @ 93.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$21.30
$1.30
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?
21 shares @ 96.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$20.81
$0.81
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
20 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$20.20
$0.20
- YES
Left-Wing Wave in French Mayoral Elections?
20 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$20.12
$0.12
- JILIN NORTHEAST TIGERS
Jilin Northeast Tigers vs. Liaoning Flying Leopards
19 shares @ 41.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$19.10
$11.19
- BEIJING DUCKS
Beijing Ducks vs. Zhejiang Golden Bulls
12 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$11.82
$4.02
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
19 shares @ 52.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$10.46
$0.66
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
16 shares @ 72.0¢·now 59.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$9.46
$-2.08
- SASCHA GUEYMARD-WAYENBURG
Split: Frederico Ferreira Silva vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg
9 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$9.07
$3.54
Recent activity
- REDEEMDota 2: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner$0.00Mar 25, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlicante: Sebastian Ofner vs Alejandro Moro Canas$10.00Mar 25, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlicante: Sebastian Ofner vs Alejandro Moro Canas$1.10Mar 25, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlicante: Sebastian Ofner vs Alejandro Moro Canas$1.10Mar 25, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Monte vs 9INE (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffs$1.13Mar 25, 15:03 UTC
- TRADESELLDubrovnik: Tamara Zidansek vs Sara Sorribes Tormo$0.66Mar 25, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYDubrovnik: Tamara Zidansek vs Sara Sorribes Tormo$10.00Mar 25, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYDubrovnik: Tamara Zidansek vs Sara Sorribes Tormo$1.10Mar 25, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlicante: Sebastian Ofner vs Alejandro Moro Canas$1.10Mar 25, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSet 1 Winner: Ofner vs Canas$1.10Mar 25, 14:48 UTC
- REDEEMSplit: Mili Poljicak vs Felix Gill$0.00Mar 25, 14:41 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: Mindfreak vs Rooster (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #2 Playoffs$26.00Mar 25, 14:39 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: SemperFi Esports vs Ground Zero (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #2 Playoffs$7.43Mar 25, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSplit: Andrej Nedic vs Dimitar Kuzmanov$10.00Mar 25, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYSplit: Andrej Nedic vs Dimitar Kuzmanov$1.10Mar 25, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner$2.02Mar 25, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 2.5$1.10Mar 25, 13:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$35.04Mar 25, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Monte vs 9INE - Map 2 Winner$1.10Mar 25, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYNaples: Federico Cina vs Francesco Forti$1.10Mar 25, 13:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $3.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 12:16 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 25, 15:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.