Amusing-Saddle
0xce59b9c2317ffe3268d7f970c083062608edccfe
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$15.64
Total PnL
$-4.36
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
3 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.03
$1.03
- YES
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC West?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$1.96
$0.96
- YES
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$1.49
$0.49
- YES
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.30
$0.30
- YES
Will DR Congo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.22
$0.22
- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.19
$0.19
- YES
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.14
$0.14
- YES
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$1.12
$0.12
- YES
Will Google have the top AI model on October 31?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$1.10
$0.10
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?
1 shares @ 93.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$1.07
$0.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill DR Congo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Feb 10, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Raja Krishnamoorthi be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?$1.00Feb 4, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpace FDV above $15M one day after launch?$1.00Jan 26, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?$1.00Jan 20, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?$1.00Dec 30, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC West?$1.00Dec 23, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.00Dec 16, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?$1.00Dec 5, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Die With a Smile by Lady Gaga and Bruno Mars be the most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?$1.00Nov 25, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.00Nov 18, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?$1.00Nov 11, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?$1.00Nov 4, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fulham FC win on 2025-10-28?$1.00Oct 28, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on October 31?$1.00Oct 21, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$1.00Oct 14, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMLinea airdrop in Q3 2025?$1.39Oct 8, 05:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill India win the 2025 Asia Cup?$1.45Oct 8, 05:32 UTC
- REDEEMNext French Prime Minister appointed by September 12?$1.69Oct 8, 05:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill JLP (Jamaica Labour Party) win the most seats in the 2025 Jamaica House of Representatives election?$1.85Oct 8, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?$1.00Oct 8, 05:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 09:21 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 10, 07:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.