0xce5caff3b2297ab7e3428b021ffa4b500d47617b
0xce5caff3b2297ab7e3428b021ffa4b500d47617b
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$18.65
Total PnL
$18.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on May 2?
12 shares @ 0.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$11.95
$11.95
- NO
Will CSD Colo-Colo win on 2026-04-19?
6 shares @ 0.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$5.78
$5.78
- YES
Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Australian Open?
1840 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.92
$0.92
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on May 2?
6 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$7.84May 12, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$3.98May 12, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$3.98May 12, 10:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$3.58May 12, 10:19 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$3.60May 12, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$3.99May 12, 09:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$0.08May 12, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$4.00May 12, 09:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $3.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 09:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 10:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".