0xce5fcb7940135fa07628b26f71a48ed31ff91912
0xce5fcb7940135fa07628b26f71a48ed31ff91912
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$3.0K
Total PnL
$-3.4K
Realised
$170.09
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
1266 shares @ 79.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$981.01
$-18.99
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
5610 shares @ 18.3¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$701.24
$-323.75
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
1125 shares @ 66.7¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$500.41
$-249.60
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
1095 shares @ 37.1¢·now 40.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$444.08
$38.08
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
371 shares @ 53.9¢·now 60.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$224.33
$24.33
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?
1906 shares @ 6.6¢·now 5.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$102.91
$-22.09
- YES
Iran Nuke before 2027?
637 shares @ 9.9¢·now 8.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$51.95
$-11.23
- YES
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
153 shares @ 17.0¢·now 13.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.24
$-5.76
- YES
Ukraine coup attempt by June 30?
594 shares @ 6.2¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.91
$-28.09
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?
6109 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-335.99
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.06Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$300.00Jun 12, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?$20.00Jun 12, 16:35 UTC
- TRADESELLIran Nuke before 2027?$52.39Jun 12, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$25.00Jun 12, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLIran Nuke before 2027?$100.69Jun 12, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?$200.00Jun 12, 10:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?$55.00Jun 11, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran Nuke before 2027?$8.00Jun 11, 12:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$6.00Jun 9, 15:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?$6.00Jun 8, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?$25.00Jun 8, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine coup attempt by June 30?$2.00Jun 8, 11:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 7, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran Nuke before 2027?$85.00Jun 6, 06:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $227.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 03:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.