Thunderous-Flugelhorn
0xce66940dfe6dc18bc151d66d52a66eb2121bcc64
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
96
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-24.2K
Realised
$11.3K
Win rate
88%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 96- YES
Will Dilan Yeşilgöz-Zegerius become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
30000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-180.00
- YES
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
20594 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
Will Andy Byron be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
14100 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-156.34
- YES
Will Taylor Swift be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
14100 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-156.34
- YES
Will Shedeur Sanders be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
14100 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-156.34
- YES
Will Vladimir Putin be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
14100 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-156.34
- YES
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
14100 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-156.34
- YES
Will Terence Crawford be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
14100 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-156.34
- YES
Will Katy Perry be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
14100 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-156.34
- YES
Will Canelo Alvarez be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
14100 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-156.34
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?$50.82May 16, 18:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?$4.31May 16, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?$2.47May 16, 12:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?$66.50May 16, 07:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$863.72Apr 15, 18:32 UTC
- REDEEMOdds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 50% in February?$6.00Mar 4, 17:31 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$67.00Mar 4, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$34.17Feb 28, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYOdds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 50% in February?$5.04Feb 28, 12:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$195.85Feb 28, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$0.02Feb 19, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$0.03Feb 19, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$0.02Feb 19, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$0.03Feb 19, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$0.03Feb 19, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1.64Feb 19, 00:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill António José Seguro win the second round by 20–30%?$2.6KFeb 18, 23:33 UTC
- MERGEWill António José Seguro win the second round by 20–30%?$378.51Feb 18, 23:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$38.6KFeb 18, 18:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$2.5KFeb 18, 18:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $5.7K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 8, 21:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 18:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.